And he'll be needed with Hopkins out for the first six games. But don't let the new kids make you forget about the flashes we saw from Moore as a second-round pick in 2021. That is elite company. With schemed fronts and twists/stunts, Lawson has the power and closing speed to win matchups. I love the upside, but I don't love having to bank on that sort of growth out of my third-round pick. -- Bowen. Reuniting with Adams and getting a healthy Darren Waller back figures to improve his efficiency and push his passing touchdown total above 30. Chase will find the end zone plenty of times this season given his explosive-play juice, but it will be Higgins who will stretch the seams in the red zone and use his vertical matchup ability to rack up touchdowns. A starting role should increase his floor, while his fantasy ceiling remains sky-high in a high-powered offense. Wilson's arrival changed everything, and if he plays near a Pro Bowl level, a lot of folks are going to say the five picks and three players the Broncos gave up to trade for Wilson aren't going to seem like that big a price tag. That translated to the field last season. No one expects a title or even the playoffs this year; we're talking about 2023 and beyond. Pierce has breakout upside on volume alone, but seeing him run well paired with the rave reviews he's receiving from training camp, and there is a lot to like here. Mike Clay: Trevor Lawrence, Jacksonville Jaguars 1Pat Freiermuth, Pittsburgh Steelers. -- Doug Kezirian. Brown and Antonio Brown. But McKenzie is even more explosive and faster than Cole Beasley, meaning he could pick up more yards after the catch and even be targeted downfield at times. Describe the QB situation in three words: Better than before. -- Bowen, Can a breakout player be a guy who was a Pro Bowler last season? While there are still injury concerns, you already get a discount baked into his ADP with him going as an RB3. Listed below are some high-end breakout candidates that I target in drafts: Kyle Pitts, Jalen Hurts, Travis Etienne, Breece Hall, Michael Pittman, Marquise Brown. Stephania Bell: Trey Lance, QB, San Francisco 49ers The 6-2, 210-pound third-year receiver will now be one of the starters in the Bills' high passing offense. If the 2018 No. Those players are all great, but the middle to later rounds is when everyone is really searching for a. His only real target competition is Kyle Pitts, but it's easy to picture both of those two having a 25-percent target share. Each analyst named a sleeper and a bust for each of the major offensive positions, as well as one breakout candidate. He gets to play with Russell Wilson too. Tannehill has 13 game-winning drives since joining the Titans in 2019, one behind Derek Carr for the most over that span, including the playoffs. That means backup Jacoby Brissett will have to keep the Browns in the playoff picture for a lot longer than initially anticipated -- and with a receiving corps that underwhelmed during the preseason. Keith Lipscomb: Darnell Mooney The running back might not ultimately be what he was in his rookie year (1,307 rushing yards), but this is the most explosive he has looked in a while. But why? WR Gabriel Davis: No other Buffalo skill player comes close to Davis for breakout honors. In coach Andy Reid's system, Smith-Schuster has the traits to produce immediately as a volume target. The Patriots are going through a major transition in offensive philosophy after the departure of offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels. I still have low expectations for this team as their biggest upgrade is head coach Doug Pederson. Breakouts. 5 overall pick in 2018, and he is in the final year of his rookie deal. 1. In addition, the schedule also looks challenging late in the season, with two games against the Bills and one versus the defending AFC champion Bengals. Bateman was slowed by abdominal and core muscle injuries in his first training camp, missed the first five games of 2021 with a groin injury, then played only six full games with starting QB Lamar Jackson, who dealt with injuries of his own. The Bills moved on from Emmanuel Sanders and Cole Beasley, clearing the runway for Davis to be close to an . Eric Karabell: Jerry Jeudy, WR, Denver Broncos A timing and rhythm thrower with the pocket mobility to create space in traffic, Young fits the offensive scheme under first-year coach Brian Daboll. But new coach Brian Daboll should make the Giants' offense more functional. -- Teicher, Hardman spent his first three seasons with the Chiefs in Tyreek Hill's considerable shadow, which can at least partly explain his inconsistent production since being drafted in the second round in 2019. Luckily for you drafters, there are plenty of those, as well. Kyle Soppe: Javonte Williams, Denver Broncos Draft a league now and start fresh with a 0-0 record and a shortened schedule. Davis brings a ton of upside in that role. -- Mike Triplett, The Saints face some stiff competition in the AFC North and NFC West, but the offense and defense should still be solid after hitting nine wins last season. Stroud, more . He was also the first receiver off the board in the actual draft. The Ravens traded away Marquise Brown in the offseason, leaving Bateman as their clear No. Bold prediction for 2022: Miami will trade tight end Mike Gesicki before the November deadline. -- Weinfuss, Describe the QB situation in three words: Time to win, Murray is coming off signing a mega extension this offseason that'll keep him in Arizona through the 2028 season, but it's time for Murray to show why he was worth $230.5 million and win a playoff game for the first time in his career. Collins emerged as the Texans' No. Take advantage as he is pure upside when on the field. He backed it up with a strong showing in Week 3 of the preseason, playing over 80 percent of the snaps on the opening drive while rushing six times for 37 yards and a touchdown. They are good friends off the field and already seem to have a strong connection between the lines, with Hurts targeting Brown early and often this summer. But the goal this offseason was to get younger, faster and more physical along the interior defensive line, and Akiem Hicks, who's 32, paired with Vita Vea could make for a devastating pass rush. Michael Carter is a very talented back who could have standalone value even if Hall remains healthy. -- Anita Marks. Bold prediction for 2022: Higgins will lead the team in touchdown catches. I do not see a losing season, so I will take the Over -- Doug Kezirian. Wentz still has a strong arm and seems comfortable in Washington -- he also has much to prove. -- Bowen. He has already shown his chops at training camp and earned a reputation for good footwork, impressive hands and otherworldly body control. 1-ranked Cowboys defense in a game in which he got ejected early. Bust: A player who is highly regarded and will underperform his ADP in 2022. The 2021 first overall pick is a bit of an unheralded breakout candidate and potential league . It doesn't take much to understand why fantasy drafters aren't fighting each other to draft Barkley in the first couple of rounds. 2023 NFL Enterprises LLC. -- Legwold, Fantasy breakout candidate: KJ Hamler, WR, Hamler is a true downfield threat who is back to health after an ACL tear in his left knee. In 2022, he could see his numbers skyrocket now that Eric Ebron is no longer on the roster. Richie Grant, the team's second-round pick last year, has shown improvement at safety, and there's a good mix of talent and experience around him. Take the shot on his upside at that price. Bold prediction for 2022: Offensive coordinator Byron Leftwich will be one of the top head-coaching candidates at the end of the season. As the league's best edge rusher, I expect Garrett to post ridiculous numbers again this season for a defense with playmaking talent at all three levels. The NFC East is very winnable -- even more so following the injury to Cowboys left tackle Tyron Smith -- and the conference overall looks kind of weak, if we're being honest. When he's rushing right, as he did in the second half of 2020, Young is a dynamic defensive playmaker, but one who needs to mature as a pass-rusher. I am not talking about drafting the WR36 and they finish as the WR31. Love the talent, hate the price. -- McManus. -- Bowen, Gilmore is completely healthy for the first time in two years, and his improved health resulted in a dominant showing during training camp. They have to keep Wilson out of harm's way, and he has to be willing to get the ball out more quickly than he has at times previously in his career. 3. Recording 16 career touchdowns of 40-plus yards at Clemson, there's no denying Etienne's skills in space. Plus, he also was one of just 10 rookies since 2000 to top 180 yards in a game -- which he did against the No. Marcas Grant and Michael F. Florio are back for a special new edition of the NFL Fantasy Football Podcast from the Fantasy Lounge! -- Trotter, Describe the QB situation in three words: Potentially a mess, Deshaun Watson is suspended for 11 games. So is the calf strain that limited his movement from the middle of last season and the left shoulder injury that required minor surgery in the offseason. First-round pick Tyler Smith was said to be the left tackle of the future as he competed for the left guard spot. He and Davis Mills spent much of the summer working out together and further developing the chemistry that started to build last winter. Will Derek Carr and Davante Adams dominate the passing game for the Las Vegas Raiders? The Colts feature one the best run games with Taylor behind an upper-tier offensive front, and the pass game will be much more efficient with the addition of Ryan. Washington not only will have one of the easiest schedules this season, but its defense will face the fifth-easiest slate of offensive opponents (per offensive efficiency). The Eagles will also compete for the NFC's No. But Samuel soon started practicing daily and looks like the player he was in Carolina two years ago, when he finished with 1,051 combined yards from scrimmage. By James Bassil | August 19, 2022 11:33 am ET. But I will lean to the over because they still have Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid, despite losing Hill. Wentz represents a solid upgrade and gives the Commanders potentially their best passing attack since they had Kirk Cousins in 2017. 1. No tight end should make a bigger leap in 2022 than Cole Kmet, whose upside has been capped by a lack of touchdown equity with veteran Jimmy Graham rearing his ugly head the past few seasons. -- David Newton, He has missed 23 of the past 33 games due to injuries, which in part contributed to the Panthers' inconsistencies at quarterback. The season will be a success if QB Baker Mayfield becomes the player the Browns thought he would be. It signaled as much for guys like Zach Ertz and Dawson Knox, who scored fewer points than expected in 2020 before contributing in fantasy this past year. -- Bowen, After taking the long route to an NFL starting job -- from undrafted free agent to being signed by the Packers off of the Jaguars' practice squad -- Lazard has a shot at being the Packers' WR1 now that Davante Adams is gone. -- Doug Kezirian. He's fast, elusive and a terrific receiver, and injured James Robinson is way behind Etienne in terms of September readiness. Garrett racked up 16 sacks last season, and he has 58.5 over just five years. Travis Etienne has a clear path to be this years DAndre Swift. These 10 players could reach an elite fantasy level in 2022. A player with dynamic traits and open-field juice, Moore can be schemed manufactured touches in Kliff Kingsbury's offense, in addition to what he brings as an interior route runner with quarterback Murray. Look for Joseph to be one of the top candidates after his Arizona defense registers top-10 numbers this season. Given the improvements, the Lions should at least double their win total. 2022 NFL draft by position. The chemistry with Carr is real, and so is Adams' preternatural ability to get open and come down with the tough catch. Bold prediction for 2022: AJ Dillon will lead the Packers in rushing yards. The surrounding players are there, but it's hard to see 11-plus wins with the unproven Lance. One challenge is deciphering how much the defensive success was a result of the Patriots' offense experiencing its own "growing pains." JAX | KC | LV | LAC | LAR | MIA | MIN The Broncos not only brought in Russell Wilson to bolster the pass game; they also re-signed Melvin Gordon III. Fantasy managers who drafted these players last season know very well how . Olave could lead the team in targets. Cole Kmet (TE CHI) Eric Karabell: Logan Thomas, Washington Commanders With his new contract in hand and sterling efficiency numbers last season to foreshadow the liftoff, its time for him to ball out. Philips' 35-yard punt return in the second preseason game was an example of the dynamic playmaking ability that resulted in nine returns of 22 yards or more last year at UCLA. Jalen Hurts, Deebo Samuel and Cordarrelle Patterson were just a few players who broke out in a big way for fantasy managers last year. If Penny stays healthy all year, he is a lock to outlive his draft cost. Matt Bowen: James Conner The season will be a success if the Steelers can both run the ball and stop the run. Only the 17th-highest-paid tight end in the NFL, Waller is a game-breaker when healthy but missed six games last season because of back and knee issues, and coach Josh McDaniels would not commit to Waller playing in the season opener. Ryan will be the fifth starting quarterback in as many years for the Colts, and reaction to his change of locale has been mostly tepid. The Cowboys are asking a lot of Prescott, but that is what's expected of a $40 million quarterback. Pierce's vision, along with his explosiveness to power through defenders, is eye-popping. Bold prediction for 2022: Pickens will lead all rookies in TD catches. Can the Lions fix their defense? After a stellar 2020, he was held without a sack and saw his season end in December because of his second labrum tear in as many years. -- Bowen. -- Doug Kezirian. Lawson missed the 2021 season with a ruptured Achilles tendon, but his fit and potential impact hasn't changed in Robert Saleh's defense. Matt Bowen: Cole Kmet Eric Karabell: Hunter Henry He's in line for upwards of 90 targets and could easily post a 65-830-6 stat line in his second season. The veteran has the pass-catching ability and target frame to produce as receiving option for multiple other teams. Etienne has RB1 upside right now, but he's going in flex range. Could history repeat itself? He has looked good this summer while developing a rapport with Stafford. -- Bowen, Most important discovery at camp: Malcolm Rodriguez, LB, The rookie linebacker -- a sixth-round pick out of Oklahoma State -- has impressed early and could find himself starting in Week 1. "A very minor procedure. The Bengals will be looking to see how Higgins will fit in their long-term future. How will that impact his play -- and that of the defense -- when he does return? 2022 breakout players. Depending on the size of your league, Freiermuth (TE11 ADP) isn't being counted on to start across the board in fantasy this year. Yes, he's 37 years old, but his 14 years in the league show he's durable (he has missed just one game in his 12 years as a starter) and an experienced decision-maker who can get the ball to his receivers quickly (another trait already on display at minicamp). Matt Bowen: Aaron Rodgers The 2022 NFL season kicks off Thursday night, when the reigning Super Bowl champion Los Angeles Rams host the Buffalo Bills (8:20 p.m., NBC). Etienne boasts Alvin Kamara characteristics as a runner and pass-catcher. -- Eric Moody. With Davante Adams departing in the offseason, the Packers wide receiver core has become a curious one for fantasy football enthusiasts. It's something they haven't done the past two years. Also, the lack of team speed is visible versus the NFL's top competition. -- Bowen, McKenzie is in line for a big season. -- Bowen, Osborn stood out throughout training camp, even while sharing the field with superstar Justin Jefferson. -- Bowen, The quarterback played through a right elbow injury last season and is still dealing with soreness. Bold prediction for 2022: Smith-Schuster will have more than 100 receptions. -- Holder, Fantasy breakout candidate: Mo Alie-Cox, TE, The Colts signed Alie-Cox to a three-year deal worth $18 million ($8.2 million guaranteed). As a rookie, Bateman dropped just two of 68 targets, and he showed upside over the final month of the season, posting 100 receiving yards in one contest, a touchdown and a game with double-digit targets. Field Yates: Logan Thomas. As in, the Seahawks are going from a likely Hall of Famer in Russell Wilson to a pair of options that aren't all that inspiring. In 2022, Detroit could surprise bettors. In a preseason matchup against the Cowboys, Palmer caught three passes for 75 yards, including a contested over-the-shoulder 41-yard reception and an 18-yard catch-and-run touchdown. 1 cornerback the Niners hoped he'd be when they signed him to a three-year, $42 million contract in March. 2 WR over the final five weeks of 2021. Physically and mentally, he appears ready for whatever comes his way in 2022. Eric Karabell: Cordarrelle Patterson There are difference-makers on defense here, too. With one of the league's most explosive -- and quarterback-centric -- offenses, Allen and the Bills will be there in February. He's a top-20 fantasy player at the position and worth a dart throw in the late rounds. Bold prediction for 2022: The Saints will win the NFC South. 32 NFL teams, 32 looming free agent decisions: Which players will return to their team? He has established trust with quarterback Jared Goff through their offseason work together, and offensive coordinator Ben Johnson has confidence in Chark's attention to detail and playmaking ability. Joe Kaiser: Darnell Mooney, WR, Chicago Bears In 2021, 95% of his rushing yards came after contact the highest mark in the NFL. -- Bien-Aime. Mar 1, 2023. Most importantly, he has been healthy. -- Mike Triplett, Kirk Cousins, Justin Jefferson, Dalvin Cook and the Vikings' offense should be great this season, but their defense should not be overlooked. Bold prediction for 2022: The Seahawks will lead the NFL in rushing. -- Eric Moody. Most important discovery at camp: CB Tyson Campbell was the Jaguars' most impressive defensive player. You don't currently have any notifications. Making the Super Bowl would certainly be a significant step forward, but the only way this season will be a true success is with the franchise's first Lombardi Trophy. But this is really about new coach Dennis Allen's defense. Bold prediction for 2022: Safety Jaquan Brisker will lead all rookies in interceptions. 2 overall pick Aidan Hutchinson will lead all rookies in sacks. Los Angeles starts with one of its toughest tests of the season on the same night it will unveil the Super Bowl LVI banner: Thursday night against the Buffalo Bills. -- Sarah Barshop. Then when Hopkins gets back, the Cardinals will have one of the best receiving duos in the NFL. Ridder is an easy answer for Smith's play-action-based pass game, and it allows a rebuilding Falcons team to evaluate the position for the future. Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | Stitcher | SoundCloud | iHeartRadio. Get started >>. Lance could perform in that role, with more deep throws mixed in because he has a cannon of an arm. Edge rushers Maxx Crosby and Chandler Jones will feast so long as the retooled secondary -- with new cornerbacks Rock Ya-Sin and Anthony Averett -- can cover -- Gutierrez, Adams is the best receiver in the NFL, and rejoining his old Fresno State running mate in Carr -- along with a modern playcaller in Josh McDaniels -- is expected to pay off with another playoff appearance. Jan 26, 2022 Free agency and the draft are now on the minds of every NFL team except the Cincinnati Bengals, Kansas City Chiefs, San Francisco 49ers and Los Angeles Rams the final four vying for the Lombardi Trophy. The following browsers are supported: Chrome, Edge (v80 and later), Firefox and Safari. If those two live up to expectations, Tagovailoa will be a top-12 QB, maybe higher. -- Raanan. window.PLAYERCARDS_CONFIG={affiliateCode:"fpros_cards"}; Copyright 2010- FantasyPros.com That designation is a sign Kmet is due for a fantasy breakout. 1. But the remade defense, under new coordinator Patrick Graham, has to show up and keep games manageable. The season will be a success if the Patriots register at least one playoff win. He'll be a star in New Orleans. The browser you are using is no longer supported on this site. Drake London was my top rookie receiver coming into the draft and he remains it after. This is everything you need to know for the start of the season, which will conclude on Feb. 12 at Super Bowl LVII in Glendale, Arizona. -- Bowen, Adebo was thrown into the mix as a rookie last season when the Saints were short on cornerbacks. -- Bowen, Greenard flashed the ability to get to the quarterback in 2021, as he netted eight sacks in 12 games. Gordon provides clarity at a position that has been rife with uncertainty. In fact, he has 24 TD catches over the past two seasons and is fully healthy heading into 2022. Joseph's ability to scheme and develop will be on display this season for a Cardinals defense that is currently lying in the weeds. The second-round pick out of Penn State brings a playmaking element to Chicago. Clay's projections and unit grades: Stacking all 32 teams, plus best offenses, defenses and schedules, Which quarterback could have a historic Year 2? Justin Fields is also in that group and while he doesn't have the strongest supporting cast, he should add lots of points with his legs. Field Yates: Drake London. By rule, he'll miss at least four games, and it wouldn't be surprising to see him miss a few more. Eric Karabell: Adam Thielen, Minnesota Vikings Joe Kaiser: Kyler Murray, Arizona Cardinals Derek Brown (FantasyPros). 4 overall, has lockdown potential on the perimeter. Fantasy football rookie rankings 2022: Breece Hall headlines top-40 dynasty rookies Rachaad White, running back, Tampa Bay Buccaneers White should be the RB to work in unison with Leonard. If Akers gets anything close to the sort of workload Todd Gurley that got during McVays first two seasons with the Rams, the young running back is going to be a fantasy force. The season will be a success if the Bucs win the Super Bowl and only if they win the Super Bowl. He also managed a top-eight YPA and a top-12 true passer rating in back-to-back seasons. Bold prediction for 2022: Defensive end Carl Lawson will rack up 12 sacks. Stephania Bell: James Conner, Arizona Cardinals Adams is the best receiver in the NFL, and he's also the best player who will be debuting with a new team. Barkley is worth a reasonable amount of fantasy stock, but the offense of the Giants remains questionable for consistency coming into the new season. The offense will click more, and they should have enough to make a legitimate title run. Most important discovery at camp: Saquon Barkley is back. Top candidates after his Arizona defense registers top-10 numbers this season for a big season but it 's they. 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